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Consumer prices in Costa Rica rose 0.55% year-on-year in October 2026, the highest reading since March 2025, from 0.34% in September. On a monthly basis, consumer prices increased 0.39% after rising 0.11% in September. The rise was driven by transport (1.71% from the previous month), as fuel prices jumped, with gasoline up 3.10% and diesel up 17.39%, alongside higher taxi (5.73%) and bus fares (2.02%). Prices also rose for recreation, sports and culture (0.96%), led by entertainment event tickets (8.45%) and cinema admissions (7.90%), and for health (0.25%). In contrast, prices fell for personal care and miscellaneous goods and services (-0.21%), alcoholic beverages and tobacco (-0.11%), and information and communication (-0.07%).

Costa Rica Inflation Rate Rises to 19-Month High

Next week, the AI trade is likely to remain in the spotlight, with investors assessing whether last week's rotation out of technology stocks will continue or whether enthusiasm for the sector will return following the sell-off triggered by the Democrats' sweep of the US Congress. In the US, CPI and PPI reports will provide fresh insights into the inflation outlook and help shape expectations for the Fed's next policy move, with another 25bps rate hike currently priced in for December. A series of appearances by Fed policymakers will also be closely scrutinised for further clues on the interest rate outlook. Elsewhere, investors will focus on China's inflation and trade figures, Japan's PPI, inflation data from India, Brazil and Mexico, trade figures for Germany and the UK, and GDP releases from the UK, Russia, Poland and the Philippines.

Week Ahead - Nov 9th

The CAC 40 fell about 1% to hover near 8,100 on Friday amid civil unrest as the government struggles to push a budget through parliament. National protest turnout hit new highs on Thursday. Investors have been selling French bonds in recent weeks, partly on deficit concerns and doubts over whether a minority government can push spending cuts through parliament. The spread between French and German 10-year government bond yields rose to levels not seen since the 2011 euro-area debt crisis. The government deficit is set to widen to 5.4% of economic output this year, while rising borrowing costs add pressure. France’s trade deficit widened to €7.3 billion in September, above expectations of a €5.8 billion shortfall. It was the second-largest gap since October 2024. Luxury stocks posted losses, with LVMH down nearly 3%, Hermes over 2% and Kering more than 2.5%. Industrials were also mostly lower. Elsewhere, TotalEnergies shed nearly 2% amid growing hopes of a US-Iran peace deal.

CAC 40 Slips Amid Fiscal Concerns and Civil Unrest

Brazil’s 10-year government bond yield rose to 15.25% in November amid fiscal-policy uncertainty and growing bets on a US Federal Reserve rate hike. Investors remain focused on fiscal policy, especially the government’s commitment to controlling spending and public debt, which has risen significantly in recent years. President Lula has faced market pressure to present a fiscal adjustment plan. Concern over the debt trajectory led Lula to meet with economic-team members and former advisers, but no plans have been announced yet. Meanwhile, US nonfarm payrolls increased by 165,000 last month, topping all forecasts, and the unemployment rate edged lower. The stronger figures reinforced expectations that the Fed will maintain a restrictive stance. Higher-for-longer rates in advanced economies could also pressure the BCB to keep policy restrictive. The BCB held the Selic rate at 13.75% at its latest meeting, pausing its easing cycle.

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