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Arabica coffee futures rose toward $2.9 per pound, mainly due to technical adjustment after April’s declines, with a stronger Brazilian real also weighing. Another factor is the ongoing behavior of Brazilian producers, who tend to withhold physical sales when prices are lower, which may offer some short-term support to prices.. However, the market remains pressured by the scenario of ample global supply, especially with the progress of the 2026/27 Brazilian harvest, which is expected to be sizeable. In the fields, the harvest is still in its early stages in most producing regions, but the prospect of increased supply is already priced into the exchanges. In late April, the Coffee Trading Academy projected Brazil's 2026/27 coffee harvest will increase by 12% y/y to 71.4 million bags.

Arabica Coffee Futures Edge Higher

US factory orders increased 1.5% month-over-month in March 2026, surpassing market expectations of 0.5% and following an upwardly revised 0.3% growth in February. The rise was driven by demand for transport equipment, with orders up 0.8%, led by vehicles (0.9%), defense aircraft and parts (17.8%), and ships and boats (30.9%).

US Factory Orders Rise More than Expected

The Dow Jones Index is dropping 181 points. Leading the losses are P&G (-1.78%), Amgen (-1.61%) and Apple (-1.54%). Top gainers were Merck (1.88%), Amazon (1.32%) and Cisco Systems (1.28%).

The Dow Jones Index Opens 0.37% Lower

The S&P/TSX Composite edged down to trade below 34,000 on Monday, as investors assessed renewed tensions between the US and Iran over the Strait of Hormuz. Iran’s navy said it turned away enemy warships attempting to pass through the strait, while US Central Command stated no US ships had been hit. Oil prices jumped earlier in the session, fueling concerns about the impact of higher crude costs on global inflation. The banking sector declined, with BMO down nearly 1% and Royal Bank of Canada off more than 0.5%. Gold prices slipped, pressuring miners, as Agnico Eagle fell 0.4% and Wheaton Precious Metals lost nearly 1%. Energy producers also traded lower despite elevated oil prices, after OPEC+ agreed to increase output on June. Canadian Natural edged down, while Suncor fell 0.5%.

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