NZD/USD takes rounds to 0.6390 during early Tuesday as the Kiwi pair traders await more clues to extend the latest recovery from the key support confluence. In doing so, the quote highlights the market’s cautious mood ahead of the United States inflation numbers for November, namely the Consumer Price Index (CPI).

The currency pair is pushing off the Tenkan-Sen line. The instrument is going above the Ichimoku Cloud, indicating an uptrend. A test of the Kijun-Sen line is expected at 0.6355, followed by growth to 0.6605. An additional signal confirming the growth will be a bounce off the lower border of the bullish channel. The scenario can be cancelled by a breakaway of the lower border of the Cloud and securing under 0.6235, which will entail further falling to 0.6245.

Although NZD/USD snapped a three-day uptrend the previous day, the bears couldn’t conquer a convergence of the 50-bar Simple Moving Average (SMA) and a one-week-old ascending support line, around 0.6370.

The pair’s rebound, however, battles with the bearish MACD signals to challenge the NZD/USD buyers. Also challenging the Kiwi pair’s upside momentum could be the downward-sloping resistance line from December 05, close to 0.6420 by the press time.

In a case where the NZD/USD remains firmer past 0.6420, the odds of witnessing a run-up to refresh the monthly high surrounding 0.6475-80 can’t be ruled out.

On the flip side, a clear break of the 0.6370 support confluence could quickly fetch the quote towards the previous weekly low near the 0.6300 round figure.

However, the 100-SMA and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the NZD/USD pair’s November 28 to December 01 upside, respectively near 0.6290 and 0.6280, could challenge the bears afterward.

Selling NZDUSD on Limited Upside Potential Below 0.6575

Dec 13 2022