Silver price (XAG/USD) picks up bids to refresh intraday high near $23.55 as it bounces off the five-week low marked the previous day. In doing so, the bright metal recovers from the support line of a one-week-long descending trend channel. 

As the XAG/USD recovery takes clues from the RSI (14) rebound from the overbought territory, the latest run-up is likely to poke the immediate hurdle, namely the 200-SMA level surrounding $23.65.

However, the quote’s further upside will need validation from the top line of the stated channel, close to $24.10 at the latest.

Even so, the monthly high near $24.55, also the highest level since late April 2022, could challenge the Silver buyers, a break of which won’t hesitate to direct the commodity price towards the April 2022 high near $26.25.

On the contrary, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the XAG/USD’s upside from December 16 to January 03, around $23.30, restricts immediate declines of the metal.

Following that, the aforementioned bearish chart formation’s support line, near $23.00 by the press time, will be crucial to watch for a corrective bounce.

In a case where the Silver price fails to rebound from $23.00, a slump toward the mid-2022 peak surrounding $22.50 can’t be ruled out.

Oscillator-wise, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) crossed below its 50-midline, so further downside is expected, while the Rate of Change (RoC) suggests that buyers stepped in around Wall Street’s close.

Therefore, the XAG/USD remains neutral biased in the near term.

Limited bullish potential for further upside

Jan 24 2023