EUR/GBP bears return to the table, after a two-day absence, as the quote eases from the intraday high to 0.8815 during the initial hour of Friday’s European session. On the Eurozone front, clarity on the extent of the rate hike by the European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde has eased some uncertainty. ECB Lagarde has announced a continuation of 50 bps rate hike spree for March to keep the downside momentum in Eurozone inflation intact.

In doing so, the cross-currency pair fades bounce off the lowest levels since January 31 while retreating from the convergence of the one-week-long descending trend line and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of January 19 to February 03 upside, close to 0.8820 at the latest.

Adding strength to the pullback moves is the sluggish RSI (14) near the 50 levels, as well as the pair’s previous downside break of the support lines from late January.

As a result, the EUR/GBP bears are all set to revisit the latest trough surrounding 0.8780. However, multiple levels marked during late January could challenge the pair sellers near 0.8760 then after.

Should the quote remains weak past 0.8760, the odds of witnessing a fresh low of the year 2023, currently around 0.8720 can’t be ruled out.

On the contrary, a successful break of the 0.8820 resistance confluence isn’t an open welcome to the EUR/GBP bulls as the previous support line from January 30, around 0.8830 by the press time, could challenge the upside moves.

It’s worth noting that the support-turned-resistance from January 19 joins the 200-Simple Moving Average (SMA) to highlight the 0.8840 as the key upside hurdle.

The upper TL to be tested before further expected losses

Feb 25 2023